Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.398840 0.511563 0.633453 0.773373 0.928029 1.092410 1.279069
2025-09-28 0.256579 0.409859 0.592323 0.817404 1.080797 1.373702 1.718994
2025-10-05 0.193451 0.366352 0.586755 0.871191 1.215080 1.606807 2.077372
2025-10-12 0.143865 0.326769 0.576286 0.911599 1.328254 1.812109 2.401879
2025-10-19 0.116493 0.310242 0.589563 0.976444 1.466592 2.043337 2.753188
2025-10-26 0.090892 0.289309 0.592335 1.024487 1.581899 2.245606 3.069514
2025-11-02 0.062140 0.253874 0.569133 1.034406 1.646733 2.385302 3.310576
2025-11-09 0.029821 0.195745 0.503570 0.980932 1.626618 2.418763 3.422907
2025-11-16 0.009261 0.143313 0.436806 0.918701 1.589945 2.427962 3.502866
2025-11-23 0.001899 0.113748 0.402139 0.898301 1.605074 2.498854 3.655043
2025-11-30 0.000110 0.099012 0.391579 0.912023 1.664739 2.624729 3.873435
2025-12-07 NaN 0.080296 0.369161 0.905300 1.695103 2.712548 4.044521
2025-12-14 NaN 0.059220 0.337549 0.883940 1.707440 2.781216 4.197707
2025-12-21 NaN 0.056286 0.347442 0.930294 1.815437 2.974146 4.506434
2025-12-28 NaN 0.056280 0.364332 0.988044 1.939341 3.187428 4.840193
2026-01-04 NaN 0.053208 0.372580 1.031119 2.042417 3.373863 5.140819
2026-01-11 NaN 0.055772 0.396139 1.100249 2.182826 3.608983 5.502341
2026-01-18 NaN 0.054626 0.409154 1.151362 2.297504 3.810741 5.822438
2026-01-25 NaN 0.045928 0.398937 1.161908 2.353582 3.935922 6.046820
2026-02-01 NaN 0.027810 0.351900 1.105023 2.310239 3.929695 6.105661
2026-02-08 NaN 0.013399 0.302611 1.038709 2.249827 3.898705 6.131498
2026-02-15 NaN 0.007268 0.278908 1.016943 2.253604 3.951409 6.261712
2026-02-22 NaN 0.005098 0.274384 1.031586 2.311941 4.076944 6.484381